I have read this essay over and over. Charlie explores failings of the human mind that rooted in its limited programming space. Shortcuts in thinking and built-in behaviors are convenient and useful but they cause inaccurate reasoning. The essay reviews 25 perspectives on mental mistriggers that lead to misjudgment.
A great lesson in writing is required for anyone that has serious life aspirations. This book fills that appetite. It demonstrates principles of good communication, spanning from grammerly topics all the way to writing ethics. Unfortunately, writing in English also requires a style guide, so the most discerning grammarian will be unable to write by only consulting this book. However, this books does assist you in organizing your thoughts and making the day-to-day decisions of how to present yourself.
This is more of a scrapbook than a complete story. Maybe people use it as a toilet reader. I took it seriously. I put this book on the desk and read random one page a day. Then I try to work it in. That's just enough to make a dent in my life. Highly recommended.
The 1950s in the United Status was an amazing time for political and social change, and it marked the the end of the last world war. This book collects essays written between 1920 and 1950 in an interesting format designed to make the case for socialism in the United States. Its author then went on to found The Monthly Review, the most successful socialist periodical in the United States till this day. At that time, there was a notable chance of socialism taking hold in the United States and across the world. This comprised the Red Scare and included support from academics. I think the ideas in this book are very relevant to the United States and world relations in 2016, especially with the current topics in the presidential debates and with the advent of Brexit. The way this book makes its point is very interesting. The author collects several recent published articles and adds a few of his own, then updates the wording for consistency. This is much better executed than the failure that was Stephen Wolfram's A New Kind of Science. Overall, I was very interested to understand the 1950s perspective on what is socialism. People use this word frequently in the US presidential debates and when discussing other countries but it is nice to go back to the original values and understand what the movement originally wanted. Perhaps the most valuable result of economic discourse is to compare societies and to understand their values.
Here is the quote that sums up the whole book. "In retail, you are either operations driven -- where your main thrust is toward reducing expenses and improving efficiency -- or you are merchandise driven. The ones that are truly merchandise driven can always work to improving operations. But the ones that are operations driven tend to level off and begin to deteriorate." The story is littered with examples of brinksmanship purchasing and ridiculously successful marketing. But actually, it is very candid and open in discussing Sam's successful management approach. This approach involves ownership by individual store owners and very detailed coaching from top management. This level of involvement would require an entire level of district managers in other companies.
This book falls into the sad category of economics books that are written for normal people and use invented words. True to form, it fails to make any noticeable contribution to economic thought. The main thesis of the book is that market economies incentivize products for poor decision makers. You know you are reading a terrible book when the afterword is dedicated to defending that its thesis even exists or is new, "we will now describe three ways in which this book presents a perspective that is, quite possibly, novel relative to current economics." It also falls into the coulda/woulda/shoulda trap with "had we economists appropriately seen free markets as a two-edged sword, we would all but surely have delved into the ways in which financial derivatives and mortgage-backed securities, and also sovereign debt, would turn out badly." Statements like this are useless, only with time machines is hindsight profitable. Foresight is valuable, it should only be necessary for the authors to tell us how much they bet and profited from these thoughts. As an adult, it was painful to read such an obvious analysis of the result when people with different motives come together. However, I do think this book would be a great study of critical thinking for children before the age of maturity.
This is an oversized book full of illustrations and simple-language descriptions of various things. On many pages it is informative, explaining human cells, nuclear power generation and submarines. Some of the diagrams seem contrived and are perhaps only interesting to modern readers insofar as they are interested in the book's novel format -- various sports, skyscrapers and dishwashers / clothing washing machines. However, the biggest value of this book (which is alluded to several times in the text) is that it is a zeitgeist of the past few hundred years of human science achievements, all shown pictorially and with a small vocabulary of words. It is the perfect book for storing in a time capsule or sending into space.
This is a great book for learning about how a recording studio works. You are the aspiring intern that is learning the practical skills -- microphone selection, microphone placement, client engagement, basic mixing, musician communication -- that will make a recording session successful. Great strengths of this book include a vast dictionary of non-technical words that humans use to describe frequency ranges, frequency response diagrams for popular microphones and absorption coefficients for household materials. This book and YouTube video on wrapping a microphone cable are really enough to prepare you for your first day in the studio. There are even some higher level topics such as step-by-step instructions for a mixing section and answering "how do I know when my mix is done?" Many of the discussions on client interaction are directly applicable to photographers working on a portrait session.
This book is required reading for value investing and includes detailed discussion on portfolio management, human discipline and stock selection. On portfolio management, Benjamin Graham recommends a minimum of 25% allocation in the asset class (equity or bonds) opposite of where you want to invest. In discipline, he says to consider the risk "if there is a fair possibility that the holder may have to sell at a time when the price is well below cost." Since Graham's time, we now have access to myriad investment funds with neglegible fees supporting nearly any investment hypothesis. It is nearly certain that in today’s environment, Graham would recommend this investment plan for almost everyone. Graham gives active ("enterprising") stock pickers a plan to improve their stock returns by 5% before tax (p 34) versus indexes, but says this requires significant analysis. Don’t expect to make business profits (above market) from securities unless you have business-level knowledge of them. Napkin math says you need 10 years of your salary saved before this is worthwhile. And that was before your competition had calculators, let alone computers, high frequency trading and relaxed insider trading prosecution. But, you are probably reading this book because you want to beat the market or think you are special. Graham’s approach to analysis and valuation is interesting and useful — and it predates modern portfolio theory and the capital asset pricing model. Graham uses several metrics I have not seen in other modern textbooks including earnings/book (surprisingly resilient over the years), an emphasis on total capitalization in company ratios and showing annual stock prices as high/low ranges. With an investment horizon of 50 years, it is very appropriate to take a look at state-of-the-art analysis from about 50 years ago! Graham’s approach to accounting for warrants is to increase the market capitalization which in turn increases the price per share for common. According to Graham, good equity selection is a matter of finding a company with a strong financial position and the prospect for maintained future earnings which is priced close to its asset value and a safe multiple of earnings. Various litmus tests are provided for a strong financial position: a prominent brand with revenue somewhere near Fortune 500; 10+ years with no earnings deficit; 2+ current ratio; minimize over the past 10 years the maximum drop in EPS vs each's prior three years; long term debt less than equity at book (industrials) or less than 2x equity at book (utilities); 20+ years of continuous dividend payments; clear policy of 66% dividend payout ratio or demonstration that retained earnings increases per-share earnings. Also, there are tests for fair equity pricing: price less than net working capital minus debt (if possible); price less than earnings multiples of stocks with expected growth; price less than 1.33 times book value of equity. For bond selection, 7-year average earnings before tax divided by (fixed charge + 2x preferred) is recommended to exceed: 4+ (public utility), 5+ (railroad, retail), 7+ industrial. Overall, this has been a great starting point for someone interested in investing and stock selection. In modern times you must also consider pension liabilities and special purpose entities because they carry off-balance-sheet claims on future earnings. The additions in the revised edition by Zweig add 60% more text to the book and very little additional insight.
This is the final part in Morris' trilogy depicting the life of Theodore Roosevelt. There are several angles from which to read this book: the story of a man, a historical timepiece, or a guidebook in high-level leadership. On the first two counts, this installment fails to live up to TR's earlier years. Spoilers abound: he travels and meets people, he doesn't get a third term, the progressive party fails to launch, we win the war after a late entry. Because of the fast onset of Roosevelt's political impotency, there is not much story you can hope for while reading. To consider the last angle, Morris' analysis and illustration always exhibit the insight and access that are necessary for high-level leadership. I'll touch on just two items here. Teddy has access to an extensive network of confidents which report to him popular sentiment and the official and unofficial working of countries across the world. He maintained this by extensive writing, and has perhaps "written more than other man in the United States" including 150,000 letters between 1898 and 1915. This access, and his insight, allowed Roosevelt to predict a war and really understand the direction of the countries in the world. Compared to nowadays, teenagers often have friends in other countries or at least people that they idolize or follow. And most today working in an office will send at least that many letters. With only insight, Twitter, and email, anybody is able to be as informed, prepared for the world, and able to understand the tensions in the world as Roosevelt did. Lastly Roosevelt's strong personal ethics are shown strong as ever throughout the book. A patriot signs himself and his sons up for war first. Use your energy propulsively. Read extensively and connect with them to grow knowledge together.
This is (yet) another story on the psychology and metaphysics of purchasing fractional interests in companies, told by focusing on different archetypes of players in the game. "Yet another" is harsh, because this was written in 1940 and even reminisces of a time before the SEC. Ignoring all the lessons and only comparing the descriptions of who's who versus today, it is interesting to see how little has changed in the investment/speculation business over the years. All this regardless of ever more regulation, Kelly criterion, modern portfolio theory, Black–Scholes, financial engineering, and much faster access to information. Charlie Munger might say: human intuition, save its self-defeatism, will produce better decisions than even tomorrow's financial theory. The major theme of the book is "croupiers get paid, but everyone else on Wall Street is out to get themselves," coupled with "nobody just wants to be the croupier." Over and over there are tales of greed and inflated self-worth conspiring to make people purchase risky assets on credit. This same description is used for most everybody. And quite simply the only constructive advice is to avoid buying on credit.
This book is a personal account of poverty and poor decisions and written in "us vs them" style to widen the chasm between "rich" people and "poor" people. It illustrates how a bad situation can easily beget more bad situations, and how lack of a well paying job can create a self-reinforcing bad lifestyle. This review started with one star but two specific stars were added. No attempt at a political solution to America's work problem was ventured. Thank you, just thank you. Reading carefully, it is an effective and enlightening story where you (anybody) can become the coveted "rich" person by avoiding certain pitfalls. "Don't buy the toaster before you can afford bread," "never tell off your boss," "a rainy day fund is more important than anything." Reading the book this certain way makes it useful, just like reading some of Rich Dad Poor Dad.
This book is a collection of scientific articles playing out the absurd physical result of situations dreamed up by, mostly, fifth graders. A typical article includes a line like -- the pile of moles would be attracted by gravity into a sphere slightly larger than the moon with a surface gravity of one-sixteenth of Earth's, but this is where it starts to gets weird... This book immediately consumes all your available time until you have finished reading. And it rewards you with tidbits of information that would be useful in ridiculous situations as well as other information.
This second installment on Roosevelt's life focuses on his US presidency during the years 1901 to 1907. The story details the political feats of a president who succeeded in handling labor and combination domestic issues as well as successful negotiation of the Panama canal against an extorting local government. However, Morris' detailed account into Roosevelt's correspondence and relationships gives new themes and uses for the book. Diplomatic protocols, strategic personal correspondence (p. 692, to Alice), press relations, posterity letters, and personal ethics are all presented in such detail that you could use this book as a guide on each of these topics. Aside from political clout, it is interesting to look at Roosevelt as a man. His success in arbitrating the end of the Russo-Japanese War and the Coal Strike of 1902 were both attributed to his presidency; however, they were won both by the parties' testament to and reliance on Roosevelt's personal ethics. Overall it is great to learn more about this president with long-lasting impacts and a great understanding of naval strategy before America's rise from 5th largest naval fleet to first, especially in this year which will end the 100-year streak of America leading as the world's largest GDP (by PPP).
Robert Gates is a capable writer, able to easily take the storyline of his time as Secretary of Defense and separate it into themes each with their own timelines while maintaining a flow that helps illustrate the complexities of the role. Gates gives an interesting and close look into largest employer in the world by sharing senior tactical decisions used to support the mission. The many interactions discussed let you see how responsibility, accountability and military authorization are shared between bureaucrats and legislators and generals and lower officers. There is also a great amount of information and opinions about some our foreign relations with some friends (Russia?, Saudi Arabia, Israel?) and enemies (Pakistan). A close attention to timing and geography in the book, which includes many such details, versus the names and military ranks mentioned may even provide an unintentional disclosure of military capabilities of the US and other countries. Gates seems to take a reformer's attitude, while understanding that the legislature is required to make real change. While bemoaning lawmakers who vote on defense only to bring spending to their states, "Congress is best viewed from a distance". He carried out a "'zero-based' review of all Defense intelligence missions, organizations, relationships, and contracts" where each program should fight based on its own merits not because it already exists. However, he fails to present a zero-based strategy of US military involvement and instead defers to vague notions such as "we cannot afford to lose" or consequences will be huge like last time. His leadership of the CIA and experience with the Cold War and past US involvement in the Middle East is presented sparingly to help justify why the wars were maintained. For his first post-career memoir and for his level of experience, I was surprised to find a lack of candor in questioning the strategy and his uppers. For example, while specific senators are called out for defending wasteful in-state military spending (Patty Murray, Bill Young) he fails to discuss any perceived conflicts of interest from Dick Cheney favoring a pre-emptive first strike on Syria. Perhaps this is part of making sure the troops "didn't do it for nothing" that he asks of Bush's and Obama's speeches. I was also surprised in a lack of discussion of oil. I don't know anything about the influence of oil on the US's military decisions, but for a book over 600 pages focused on the middle east, it was interesting their major feature, oil, is mentioned only four times in passing. Another omission lies in this quote "the [Iraq] war will always be tainted by the harsh reality that the public premise for invasion ... was wrong" (p 569), emphasis on the word public.
This is a popular science psychology book comparing the scientific-method correct way of making decisions versus the shortcuts that the human mind makes. This is just a drawn-out and illustrated repeat of Charlie Munger's Psychology of Human Misjudgment. I like how both books use the term "limited programming space" to describe the shortcuts the brain takes. A few original thought in here that were interesting: "Memories ... decay. Each time you recall [them], the event is reformed in your mind anew and differently, influenced by your current condition ..." And some good facts are cited like parole judges have a 3x increase in favorable outcomes for defendants if rulings are made right after lunch, and excitement/arousal from circumstances can easily be misattributed to nearby people.
This volume chronicles progress in Mathematics through translations of original works over the past several thousand years. The book opens with Euclid and his work, "The Elements, was the second best selling book of all time, surpassed only be the Bible" and describing it (only) as a collection of past mathematical works. The similarity to Hawking's book is perhaps immodest. The original translations are included verbatim with introductions from Hawking. With time, these texts have gained notoriety however the translations have not been updated. I /hate/ seeing typos and errors in math texts and manuals. Unlike some other reviewers my goal was to read this book entirely and not wince. Cantor was interesting to read while remembering the "refutations" kids often have to him when starting their math learning. I think the best math book that could possibly be written would be a list of question atop blank pages where the reader is asked to solve progressively more difficult problems.
Reading a Taleb book is like holding a conversation with someone with a blood-alcohol level in the sweet spot between being able to speak intelligibly and not being afraid to brag about themselves. He maintains this BAC meticulously throughout the book. Mother nature mercilessly destroys beings and species that are not fit to survive, so beings get stronger. In fact, the more they are tested the stronger they get. A clay pot doesn't get better; after so much testing it will break. The book categorizes things by whether they benefit from being shook up. It is quite roundabout for being "just" a definition of a concept. Throughout the book it is taking street smart concepts of trust and skin in the game and breaking down explanations for things that you basically know already but don't know how you know. Applying to the modern world, there are callouts of who are exploiting the innocent and how to avoid being a sucker in a world of sharks.
With the limitation of having sources and notes for all facts in the book, Morris does a remarkable job of turning Teddy Roosevelt's life, from a pile of correspondence, diaries, and errata, into a lively story. He has no problem pulling in geographical and weather facts as they add color, including detailed description of a weather event that is a turning point in TR's life -- which was written as a perfectly executed interlude. Teddy is the man's man with hunting, travel, taxonomy and cowboy stories and there are great nuggets of insult "[they're a] bunch of shrill eunuchs," "[they are] logical vegetarians of the flabbiest type," "they never open their mouths without subtracting from the sum of human knowledge," and in declining a funeral invitation of a political enemy, "but that does not mean to say I do not heartily approve of it." This is a volume on TR's life before presidency and it touches on the events that shaped his attitude, a father that gave quick and certain punishment for "selfishness or cruelty, idleness, cowardice, or untruthfulness", family, accomplices. Aside from the meaty story of bravery, suave, physical feats, there are plenty of tricks and social techniques shown, the Russian negotiator (p243), how to call a bluff (p281), running the press (p502), playing both sides of the aisle (p524), kissing ass (p607). In addition to the story of a great republican, it was interesting to read a history of politics, showing for sure that certain parts of the fight never change.
The main argument is: human diet and activities have changed much recently compared to our tried and true upbringings since divergence from the apes (~6m yrs ago) and obesity, lethargy, and other ailments have ensued. Recent dietary changes include popularization of agriculture/grains (10k yrs ago), plant engineering (2k yrs ago), added sugar craze (100 yrs ago), genetics/pesticides/hormones/antibiotics/artificials (60 yrs ago), increased transportation/shelf life of food (30 yrs ago). Recent changes in activity include popularization of not having hunt for food (12,000 yrs ago), machines/bikes/cars (200 yrs ago), TV (60 yrs ago), anti-sunlight/anti-social machines (20 yrs ago). Obviously all these things are working against our health and the book gives you lists of changes to go back to primal living and avoid modern ailments like diabetes, obesity, and fatigue. I think the real arguments to be had are "do the internet, soda, and all this fake food really cause the modern whole new category of diabetes?" and "how many humans would fit on Earth if we were all eating real food like plants and animals?"
Any Apple fan will enjoy this recollection of 30 years from PARC to "Not. Fucking. Blue. Enough." to the post-PC world. The story of Steve goes through LSD, Buddhism, corporate life, and his personality, and how they contributed to his very successful products. The story somewhat comes full circle. In 1984, the launch of the Macintosh was pinned on escaping the world of IBM, boring, ubiquitous products, and "big brother". In 2014, while never boring, Apple is the ubiquitous player, and the public is learning how government and big corporations cooperate in sharing their supposedly private information. The time is ripe for a new Apple. Reading the story makes me think of all the other inspired industrial designers that weren't lucky enough to work in technology and computers, the hottest industry from 1980 to 2010.
This book flows like a loosely connected series of Reader's Digest articles on people that have suffered great adversity. Some nuggets add value to the book and can make it hard to put down. Go buy the FM 21-76 Army Survival Manual, and get the most current, militarized version you have access to. A theme in there and the book in question is that the will to live exceeds the value of any other survival tactic.
This book's target audience is someone being hired to come and lead a thriving open source project who has no experience in the matter... a little odd. It discusses all the aspects of leading an international volunteer organization with people you will never meet face to face, from facilitating technical discussion, avoiding conflicts and delegating responsibility. There is a thorough discussion of technical options for hosting and SCM, which is useless because you would know all that before picking up this book. Either way, anyone in the profession should be able to pick this book up and find /something/ that could improve how they are working today. And for that, 4 stars.
This is one of the "big four" Chinese classical books told for thousands of years and finally written down around CE 1400 into a 24-volume story. The full edition includes maps and supplemental biographical summary. Luckily, I found the kid's version in a slick 250 pages (also with map and bio summary). This book is the basis for 三国杀, which is the game I played to learn Chinese and achieve my 15 minutes of fame so early in life. Ok, so the story... this book focuses solely on the rulers of the three kingdoms and their attempts to attack each other. All romance is strictly left out for want for brevity. A great read for anyone who plays the card game because the game's characters faithfully match the story's likeness and behaviors.
This is another win for fiction books, it's a political "thriller" that shows the Unites States falling into rule as a people's state. The righteous industrialists stage a strike and hide from society, letting the iron fist rule the sheep, neither being having any productive capacity. Very interesting and there is a 60-page speech near the end where the leader of the strike addresses the public and explains the moral system of capitalism. And, he goes on to compare rule of a people's state to propogation of religion! There's lots of quotable stuff in here. (And when I say quotable, I'm talking about phrases and thoughts you can use in your own arguments some day.)
This is part of my research into blackjack. If you know me personally, you know about the analysis I'm doing right now. This book is a detailed analysis of point systems for blackjack and it investigates the efficiency of these systems in terms of the trade offs that are made to make each system simple for humans. I met Mike Aponte at some Drexel event in early 2011. He said this book and some shuffle tracking books are the latest books on the subject.
This was a recommendation when I was interviewing to work at CDI. It is an in depth look at the players in the mortgage-backed securities madness happening in the 2000's. More reading: Munger. The Psychology of Human Misjudgment; Grant's Interest Rate Observer. Michael Burry's letters to shareholders. Funds that shorted MBS: Whitebox, The Baupost, Passport Capital, Elm Ridge, Elliott Assoc., Cedar Hill Capital Partners, QVT Financial, Philip Falcone Harbinger Capital
This is officially a time management / work-life balance book, but it tries to be more of a life/wasting time balance book. Be aware of the goals you have in life and find some 10 and 30-minute tasks that support those goals. Keep this task list handy and you'll naturally spend less time chit-chatting and watching TV. Nothing in this book is crazy useful for me or expands beyond what David Allen already made obvious, but it does touch on my general interest in post industrial revolution and post internet age anthropology/sociology. Specifically, how does human life change when productivity increases so that every one can eat and have shelter with only 3% of the population employed to enable this? This book in question points to a great quote in 1959 Harvard Business Review, "boredom, which used to bother only aristocrats [will] become a common curse," and then tries to argue this is not the case. Chapter six does give more hard numbers and anecdotes from various sources to show how life has changed over the past 50 years. The most noticeable being a drastic reduction (~40%) in time spent cleaning/tending the house leading to more time at work and with the kids. Google for Good Housekeeping 1960 and just look for yourself.
Just to start off, here is Will's stance on foreign policy: the less you try to change others the cheaper your relationships will be to maintain. This book supports the argument that there is a large and effective community of American voters who make Israel their first priority, and due to their influence, elected officials in America commit unconditional support to the country. Then the book goes on to explain how this is against America and Israel's best interests. In addition to the arguments that any libertarian or atheist would appreciate, the book responds to the question "is Israel an asset or liability to America". Mearsheimer enumerates instances where Israel has been of limited utility to the US when they wanted to use the state for military purposes if those purposes had not directly and immediately benefitted Israel. As to whether terrorist sentiment towards the US is related to America's support of Israel, the book refers the reader to a letter from Ramzi Yousef to the New York Times after he bombed the World Trade Center: "We declare our responsibility for the explosion on the mentioned building. This action was done in response for the American political, economical, and military support to Israel, the state of terrorism, and to the rest of the dictator countries in the region." [Will's note] here is a related quote from Osama Bin Laden on Sept. 14, 2009 titled "A statement to the American people:" "The reason for our dispute with you is your support for your ally Israel, occupying our land in Palestine." -- The book makes a poor case for quantifying the cost in dollars of America's direct support for Israel. After such a powerful book and argument, I was disappointed to lay eyes on a modern topic involving a price tag of only a few billions of dollars. For the future, I would like recommendations on counter arguments to this book, preferably matching this book point for point.
If you are not a C-level executive at a Fortune 200 company and you don't have one in your phonebook, this book is probably not relevant to you. This is a wonkish book that talks in theoretical terms about how intellectual property and trade secrets can be used internally or transferred outside the company.
Another book recommended by my boss. My takeaways from this book include: how to prepare corporate reports for an external entity, and details about cost accounting. The best part of the book is Appendix 1, which has a list of sample questions is a dialog between an entrepreneur and venture capitalist. Also included are sample legal documents to officiate the relationship.
This book was recommended by my boss. Notable topics include pricing acquisitions, swindling target shareholders with cash/shares offers, and integration phases.
Peter Schiff is a permabull and makes predictions about collapse of the U.S. Dollar and U.S. markets, which will be decoupled from the rest of the world. The prose in his book and radio show is very argumentative and defensive, I am generally suspicious of these types of people. Some themes from the book are: U.S. GDP data is grossly inflated, a housing bubble will soon collapse, and America is way over-leveraged. The most valuable part of this book is an illustration of civil unrest in America, and a very skeptical view of government. These aspects are all useful. Peter's forecast on the specific path of America's economic downturn seems unlikely to happen within the next 5 years, but the book is still useful.
I suppose reading a book titled "High Tech Start Up" from 2000 might lack an element of history that more recent books may have. Nevertheless, this book was recommended to me by Ron Blankenhorn as still relevant, and I trust his opinion. This book discuses the mechanics of successfully starting and eventually selling a high tech business. Quick fact: being the CEO of a high tech startup is less tiring than running a growing division at a large, public company. The book thoroughly discusses business plans and projection. Of course it boils down to the same lesson in business school: accounting numbers are useless, only cash matters. Another interesting thing about the book is that it discusses the relationships between all the parties, investors, VCs, management, lawyers, landlords, and it explains all the gotchas in dealing with those parties. Highly recommended for someone making deals, or starting a company.
This book makes the point that Greenspan has done America a disservice by consistently setting the Federal Funds Rate too low. The effect was that too much money was being deployed and bubbles formed. My favorite Volcker quote is in there: the fate of the world economy is now fully dependent on the growth of the U.S. economy, which is dependent on the stock market, whose growth is dependent on about 50 stocks, half of which have never reported on earnings. This book also makes some misleading uses of number like this: "... was an annualized rate of 44 percent over the last 10 weeks of the year." For comparison, the S and P 500 went down an annualized 99.98% over the past day, (August 7, 2008). So overall what it comes down to is: did we over allocate resources to tech stocks from 1998-2001. As you answer this, you should look at a graph of the NASDAQ from 1990 to 2010. My answer is maybe a little bit, but not that much. When you think of how your life has changed during 1999 and 2000 as a result of the internet, I think it's quite reasonable to say "this is the point when everything changed." And if you are going to misallocate capital, that is the perfect time to. However, after 2001 I agree with the author that money was too available, which resulted in a real estate and commodity bubble afterwards -- which was completely unfounded and delayed a much needed recession. (Older and wiser, a note from 4/14/2009: Of course, the solution is that interest rates should not be centrally planned.)
A better title would be: "Compulsive gambler loses money." In the beginning, he whines compulsively about how he lost money on WorldCom, there is zero value in all his words on this. Unfortunately, I have read several books by mathematicians and they are all identical. I will save you the time of reading this or any other of them: fibonacci has a series of numbers, things get large when you exponentiate, adjacent spirals on a sunflower have sizes that are proportional at a ratio called phi. Like other "math people" books, this one butchers mathematical ideas by trying to make them accessible to a larger audience. Mathematics is a system of patterns and analogies. People that have these models in their repertoire can use them to understand new things. However it is useless to make these obscure analogies accessible to lay people; it would be better to describe new ideas directly. A person with a background in math will enjoy a good laugh on how he shoehorns Wolfram's cellular automata to describing investor sentiments (pp170-171). You can read it by searching for "stephen wolfram" of the "Search Inside this book" feature on Amazon. (Older and wiser, a note from 3/25/2009: The counter point to the author, who expects uninteresting results in the future, is simply to read Black Swan -- also on this list. Another note, the only useful sentence in this book, which is basically a footnote is wedged between pages 182-183.)
This is an interesting analysis into best practices for businesses. It started as an academic exercise by using facts discovered during research. As the book goes on, it continues by including ideas that were not from the data, but the author felt should be included. Aside from this error, the book does have a consistent and, I feel, authentic tone. The main take aways were that you should focus on long term results and focus on your competencies. It goes on to discuss leadership qualities that are necessary for an organizational transformation.
For a book that makes a lot a predictions, this has one advantage: Greenspan's voice moves the markets. This book discusses the many dynamics in play today, and then draws predictions for what is in store for the future. We'll all have a good laugh over this book in a few years.
This is an interesting look into human psychology. It describes how we look into a world of chaos and presume that things are orderly. We are therefore acting irrationally. This describes the problem, and how we can correct this error. This book has a finance tone, and there is practical advice that you can apply to your own decisions in life. It is also very accessible and provides laymen scenarios where you can see people acting with their erroneous logic.
This is a book written by a strong protectionist. The book focuses on joint press conferences of the United States, Mexico and Canada which are advancing the agenda of private leaders. At issue are the continuation of the SPP and several infrastructure projects. Our situation is compared to the European Union. It makes a strong case that several initiatives can be construed to lead our continent the way of the EU. However, the reasoning in the book sometimes makes the assumption that America is attempting to negotiate deals to its own detriment.
This book is a great in-depth look at the models and processes that run the analytical world today. Using analytics properly can allow organizations to be very effective. It also looks at the process for bringing an organization into the proper mindset to accept change and how results from analytics can be demonstrated.
This was a light interpretation of human physiology. It cited many behaviors we take for granted and analyzed them from a darwinian perspective. My original motivation for getting this book was my trip abroad coming several months after, to learn about the different cultures and customs in the places I will be visiting.
I never read this in school, and now was the time to catch up. Kurokawa recommended this book in our management of technology course. All of the information is timeless and can be interpreted relative to the situations you face in life (some will require more creative interpretation than others). It is best suited for adaptation to adversarial situations. It discusses many facets of strategy and attack, and even goes into advice on team morale.
This books entertains several philosophical debates and raises questions of what one's self really is. The format of this book was a little rough, with its made up words and occasional silliness. His main claim is that introspection can be recursive, due to the symbolic/material duality of perceptions in one's mind. What I gained most from this book is a map of more topic that I must learn about. It is interesting how many mathematicians are so interested in consciousness.
This is a great look into the story of the White House leak about Joseph Wilson. It is written by the editor in chief of Time and shows the reader the important aspects of journalism with regards to confidentiality. This was a very interesting circumstance where politics, morals and confidentiality all came clashing together.
I picked up this book as a suggested reading from my managing technology class. It has many practical situations in diverse fields where strategic thinking can be applied. There are a few basic tools of strategy that are introduced and there are many examples of how to use them. An excellent introduction to game theory and decision making. I did however disagree with their price negotiating strategy for joint ventures, and will have to look into that. There was also a citation in there from Herb Cohen's book I read earlier.
Makes many arguments against religion on the basis of rational argument and them explains the physiological and psychological reasons people have for being deluded. There are some interesting theories in terms of why people are deluded again and again. There are also some interesting moral tools and arguments that religion is strictly separate from morality. Some of the arguments against a deity are long winded of little use for quoting to the general public. The other insights provide many takeaways.
I picked this up merely because I knew nothing of the topic. The main argument is that giving money in foreign aid to countries for causes which the people don't think is bad. Since their government will become corrupt to game the system, this results in people being worse off than they were before the foreign aid. The solution is to promote causes that the people think are important and to monitor and hold accountable the agencies that intend to solve specific problems. There were a lot of good arguments in the book and I have come to agree with the thesis. (Older and wiser, a note from 3/25/2009: Human aid is a big task, gifting money and resources is not scalable, private enterprise is scalable, therefore private enterprise is the appropriate format to effect human aid.)
This book includes a practical set of tools to use in analyzing trends affecting your industry. There is a case study of how to apply certain trends to a specific industry. There are details on big trends that have an impact on most every futures analysis. And lastly, is practical advice on how to present your findings to peers in a relevant and appropriate discussion.
The main idea here is that if we keep treating each other as less than equals (saying some are damned and others are saved) this will lead to mutual destruction due to nuclear proliferation. One profound device I found in here was a line of reasoning that shows how even religious moderates are responsible for this problem. There are also a nice set of moral evaluation tools in here that let you evaluate situations. These ultimately showed me that a few of my beliefs were inconsistent. While reading, some ideas seemed in line with something I read before. A quick flip to the bibliography confirmed that my boy Tor Nørretranders influenced these thoughts.
This is the follow up to Winning, by the same authors. The format is question and answer, with questions coming from audience members of the speaking tour Jack and Suzy went on. The book is valuable because it shows the path to implementing the values the original book taught. Many of the questions are particularly relevant to someone like me, who is just getting started in the game.
This is the follow up to The End of Faith by the same author. While this book was worthless for me to read since it contained no original thoughts since the unabridged version, the included sections will be most relevant for some people. The target audience is someone who has dogmatic beliefs in Christianity, and I think the arguments will be most compelling to someone of that persuasion.
This book talks about an interesting person who has been very successful in the securities industry. However this book leaves much to be desired. I'll start by tossing out a word that does not describe what is in the book: insightful. After reading the wonderful works of Buffet, you realize this book keeps all business knowledge close to the chest. The only person who should benefit from reading from this book would be a person already familiar with Weill on a personal level. Maybe a quote (the first one) from the rear jacket would illustrate this: "I've been friends with Sandy Weill for nearly thirty years, and this book is vintage Sandy: at every turn it's spirited, passionate, and brutally honest" (President Gerald Ford).
This book describes a new taxation system that is based solely on consumption. An interesting concept, this is quite different from what I'm used to. There are several points in the book where I was upset because the arguments were weak. For example, they explain that this new system will still charge you the same amount in taxes, but they keep saying how high taxes are the issue when talking about the current system. I do, however think the idea is worth considering. And the notion of pre-bates is novel.
This book was a gift from a certain holiday at the end of the year. I enjoyed reading every page of it. This book included excerpts written entirely by Warren Buffet and released in his annual reports of Berkshire Hathaway. This is a very interesting company and through the annual reports, Buffet is able to distribute a great wealth of business knowledge. This book is well-compiled and does a good job of separating the excerpts by topic.
Excellent book. Probably gets the award for best fiction from me, but I still need to spend time thinking about what happens in it. There are elements of politics, minor twists, torture, psychology. This is what fiction was made for!
This book was a gift from a certain holiday at the end of the year. There is an analysis of patterns in financial markets. It was a well-anticipated read from an interesting author I recognize from my math background. Unfortunately, I find no depth to his arguments and see no use in reading about these ideas when they fail to make any measurable application to the real world.
An interesting read of how Trump was able to make big things happen. One of his main points is that you should not be personally accountable for transactions and that when you are making big deals that you can add contingencies to the contract if you are unable to assume certain large risks.
This was a good follow-up to reading about Long-Term in Fortune's Formula. One of the few history books I've ever enjoyed, this explains of the biggest financial ruts a company has caused. There is enough in-depth material so that you can gain a better appreciation of exactly what decisions were being made and how they affected the company and the economy as a whole.
I borrowed this from a classmate and it worked out very well. I generally enjoy books having some psychological element. I plan on continuing with his other popular book.
Good stuff. Talks about the causes and effects of macro events, and even dives into psychology. Written with many illustrative examples.
The author of this book is truly in a position to offer an experienced opinion on international trade. The book discusses the current dynamics of international trade and gives a practical perspective of economics, trade and politics. He explains the emerging practices of places he has travelled and offers insight from the perspective of each world power.
First, this book goes into the biographies of several key players in gaming theory and its implementation. I was surprised that I already knew some of these people from Engineering, but had no idea of their other involvements. Then there is an explanation of the theories and formulas that allow optimal gaming. Last, it goes into their attempts to take advantage of these strategies in the real world. I couldn't put this one down and I learned lot. Although the overtone is discouraging, it still motivates me to find something simple to take advantage of.
A very interesting and detailed look at a flat strategy for running an organization.
This book was a gift from graduation from Villanova. I though it was well written an interesting, but the political and historical references were lost on me.
A very interesting look at the effects of many globalizing forces currently in play. There are many good examples in here that I can use in my discussions, which were all big surprises when I read them. It also discusses the way that developed peoples work with undeveloped peoples and how we can work together to take advantage of our new ability to communicate.
Explains the best practices for organizing and leading teams. Sadly, I didn't know what a team was until this book explained how it is different from a workgroup. Just to spoil the first page for you, a workgroup is a set of people reporting to a boss, but a team is an autonomous group having its own leadership and division of work. The benefits of a team structure are: less overhead, no single point of failure, more collaboration, and more buy-in.
My second fiction book, hoping not to get burned again, I came across this popular piece. More than a couple people recommended this book, and I anticipated a big hit since it is based on a code and apparently there's a big twist. What I liked were the bite sized chapters and a couple of the foreshadowing hooks. Other than that the story is hardly noteworthy, another waste of my time. Brown clearly capitalizes on the inquisitive public and skepticism of the Catholic church. The "big twist", was hardly worth reading up to, aside from the massive plot hole. I do laud the attempt to bring some historically buried facts into light, though.
This book was written by the editor of Wired magazine and includes insight derived from many rounds of writing columns and giving speeches. Markets have changed lately because of the reducing costs of storage and shipping. Ultimately, this produces more choice for consumers. This book argues that customers have a large demand for choice and that they will be the driving force for the change from mainstream media to subculture media. The book is filled with graphs and graced with conclusions from proprietary consumer data.
An interesting book about space and....
This is the first fiction book I've ever read, recommended by my Uncle. In school I've always avoided reading fiction, and this day I decided I'm going to try it. Utter disapointment. I read past the end of the cover looking for action in this book. The story involved a chase, that's about it. As some might say, teh lame.
This was a gift from mom, I believe. It is my first book in a series of management/business book. In retrospect, I can't help but wonder if my intrigue for this book was ultimately responsible for my grad school choice.
A classic. After reading this book, I just had to read further into physics on the macro and micro scale. I had a lot of questions after reading this book, which I had answered in the alt.physics.* newsgroups.
This is my second book on the business wave. I thiought it was an interesting topic considering how comoditized the world is becoming.
Where to start? Here, Wolfram notices a pattern in the sciences. Specifically, his thesis is that throughout biology, computing, physics, weather and other sciences, there are behaviors that are considered complex and that these complex behaviors can be modeled by using simple models in large scales. One telling example is when he models fluid dynamics, a field generally dominated by differential equations, with a simple bouncing particles approach. I'm not going to lie, I was upset to read 70% through the book and find that the book ended with 200 pages remaining of notes and bibliography. It will take a while for the effects of the methods created in this book to be seen.
You can see elsewhere on this page how I came upon this book. It is a great way to hit the ground running towards the most sought after prize in cryptography (and therefore many other fields).
Awesome fucking book! I bought this at a used book sale near in Philly, and I scooped this gem up on a whim. It talks about how specifically the mind works. This has huge implications for free will, religion, understanding sleep, philosophy/existentialism. I often use the ideas in this book when discussing any of these topics.
There's a little story about this book. I bought this book in Junior year of high school to try to pick up the pace on my math career. At that time, I had also been competing in the USA Math Talent Search sponsored by the NSA. I won a silver prize in this contest, which was a copy of this book I already owned. So I came in contact with them and they recommended another book for me. I also later went to get a job with them, but less on that later.
I picked this book up because the genome was a very hot topic in the day. It talks about some of the intricacies of DNA and the mechanics that cause mortality.
I have no idea how I picked this book up, help anyone? It talks about specifics in the bible and shoehorns some of the ideas into now accepted scientific beliefs. I'm always interested in testing the faith of people that take their religion literally.
Light reading, to say the least